9:30PM Severe Weather & Flash Flood Situation Update & Overnight Nowcast

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The hail threat should diminish later tonight. It is possible some areas that end up with multiple rounds of storms could pick up more than 2" of rain. This merits a flash flood threat. The primary hazard with this severe weather situation comes in the form of damaging straight-line wind. some gusts could be greater than 60mph.

Victoria weather: Flash floods hit Melbourne as storm moves across Victoria. The Victorian SES issued prepare to evacuate warnings on Friday evening at 9.30pm and 10.19pm for low-lying areas of.

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NOWCAST KCWE 9pm-9:30pm. to rain.Click here for live updates on Wednesday’s severe weather threatsKMBC chief meteorologist Bryan Busby says rain, possibly heavy at times, could fall overnight.

In addition to the above uncertainties, spectacular’ and Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW) tends to occur every few years that can bring about major hemispheric pattern changes – with very cold.

Well, we’re approaching Raceday (Indy 500) and the memorial day weekend. models are in disagreement – The 00Z model suite was garbage, but I’ll do what I can in this update to summarize the severe weather threat. At the bottom of the post, I’ll discuss the threat for flooding (AGAIN!!) in the Midwest.

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A dangerous situation is developing this evening and overnight for the Coastal Plains and Southeast Texas. I won’t rehash the forecast I just published moments ago (which can be read here). However, the Weather Prediction Center just upgraded portions of Southeast Texas and the Coastal Plains to a high risk of flash flooding tonight.

The trick is being able to forecast which parts of these states has the best chance for severe weather. The first thing we do is look at where the surface features are forecast to set up as this is where the thunderstorms will initiate.. Going to be somewhat a nowcast situation, so many old.

A series of shortwaves will rotate throughout the Northeast in association with a cutoff low. Flash flooding and severe thunderstorms will be near daily threats over the area. Total QPF for.